OFRS 2012 - Week 2

Week 2 and on will include one extra statistic. This will be a prediction analysis. The results of each week will be compared to the rankings from the previous week and a percentage calculated for how many games were predicted correctly. Because FCS and Division 2 teams are not ranked by the OFRS any game between an FBS team and a lower division team will not be included in the calculations. Furthermore, this week, a few teams have not played a game yet, so any games that involved a team that has not played will also be excluded from this calculation. With that said, here are the ranks for week 2:
COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens
Year: 2012
Week: 2
1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the AP Top 25:
13
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the AP Top 25:
0
3) Average distance in rank from OFRS top 25 to AP Top 25:
10.52
4) Percentage games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
21-17 (55.26%)

Team Rankings
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	TCU	2.008870760604583	1-0	111
2	Oregon St.	1.7929160970913143	1-0	111
3	Alabama	1.7817900165617906	2-0	12
4	La.-Monroe	1.737635173464932	1-0	111
5	Texas Tech	1.7291907617908953	2-0	54
6	West Virginia	1.7183331732300267	1-0	19
7	LSU	1.7174373374216898	2-0	25
8	La.-Lafayette	1.7032265668174542	2-0	4
9	Stanford	1.6864819139066733	2-0	67
10	Iowa St.	1.6712582666340952	2-0	14
11	UCLA	1.6648507015083738	2-0	32
12	Arizona	1.66183608101624	2-0	45
13	UTSA	1.643539505698159	2-0	5
14	Georgia	1.6306659414952993	2-0	66
15	Baylor	1.6262723908949408	1-0	111
16	Oregon	1.6195150940613543	2-0	10
17	Ohio St.	1.6098163821602227	2-0	55
18	Arizona St.	1.60427324000697	2-0	8
19	Notre Dame	1.5784454740653853	2-0	3
20	Ohio	1.5756301390794296	2-0	63
21	Indiana	1.566752714029576	2-0	62
22	Minnesota	1.5563553948313233	2-0	30
23	Texas	1.5523570777878264	2-0	16
24	Virginia Tech	1.5479977799684914	2-0	111
25	Utah St.	1.5429353089655569	2-0	38
26	Louisville	1.5388068425828048	2-0	111
27	Clemson	1.5185965159002202	2-0	27
28	Michigan St.	1.5169182407400286	2-0	40
29	Florida St.	1.5141765303365267	2-0	28
30	Kansas St.	1.5049919363762079	2-0	53
31	Wake Forest	1.5009918905643385	2-0	23
32	Tennessee	1.487341661642142	2-0	7
33	Wisconsin	1.4869639051705037	1-1	58
34	BYU	1.4772152207503175	2-0	51
35	South Fla.	1.4769516826923077	2-0	56
36	Mississippi St.	1.4711188227895124	2-0	48
37	Florida	1.4542624244212765	2-0	24
38	South Carolina	1.45141005201987	2-0	41
39	Maryland	1.4396639421559003	2-0	39
40	Virginia	1.43575772225802	2-0	57
41	Rutgers	1.4291794489891652	2-0	36
42	Ole Miss	1.428518174252159	2-0	25
43	Middle Tenn.	1.4071023351868284	1-1	104
44	Utah	1.401644737959238	1-1	20
45	Southern California	1.3991200619225217	2-0	1
46	Georgia Tech	1.374425162569914	1-1	111
47	Michigan	1.3717759492698285	1-1	76
48	Marshall	1.3697005505126145	1-1	83
49	San Jose St.	1.3676850397859792	1-1	108
50	Northwestern	1.361870453690853	2-0	11
51	Purdue	1.352684194386622	1-1	37
52	Cincinnati	1.350401911415739	1-0	111
53	Arkansas	1.3258761731516895	1-1	43
54	Washington	1.3234274628491511	1-1	9
55	Oklahoma	1.3231824918488104	2-0	60
56	New Mexico St.	1.3201568879555814	1-1	52
57	Kentucky	1.3185845067878494	1-1	111
58	Iowa	1.3116558651155776	1-1	59
59	North Texas	1.3058760909692673	1-1	87
60	Louisiana Tech	1.2939248623609276	1-0	111
61	SMU	1.2926560515328238	1-1	111
62	North Carolina St.	1.2843361841028258	1-1	73
63	Illinois	1.2832774175275092	1-1	6
64	Central Mich.	1.2765670588387896	1-1	68
65	North Carolina	1.2706503470169885	1-1	17
66	Duke	1.267503657546424	1-1	35
67	Western Ky.	1.2621390110217294	1-1	33
68	South Ala.	1.2601246373510784	1-1	69
69	Rice	1.258968383116615	1-1	94
70	Miami (FL)	1.2467420461179293	1-1	13
71	Nevada	1.2354069178319997	1-1	22
72	Washington St.	1.2320698331943745	1-1	101
73	Temple	1.2214147349722673	1-1	65
74	Troy	1.2183012626303606	1-1	21
75	Buffalo	1.2176457293614071	1-1	109
76	East Carolina	1.2016916940140416	1-1	29
77	Colorado St.	1.1872747259836196	1-1	18
78	New Mexico	1.1814784497464637	1-1	61
79	Nebraska	1.1814762086760453	1-1	46
80	Texas St.	1.1754671927783116	1-1	26
81	Toledo	1.1740092370401476	1-1	90
82	Missouri	1.1495604506227022	1-1	47
83	Tulsa	1.1462134582211974	1-1	80
84	Oklahoma St.	1.143257386796818	1-1	31
85	UCF	1.1376659234291644	1-1	2
86	Air Force	1.1336655660033301	1-1	49
87	Ball St.	1.1301350973164166	1-1	34
88	Arkansas St.	1.1284082736949763	1-1	77
89	Western Mich.	1.105047784043965	1-1	74
90	Fresno St.	1.0874600527289595	1-1	50
91	Northern Ill.	1.0692543661955483	1-1	105
92	Miami (OH)	1.0640302521911051	1-1	107
93	Bowling Green	1.0612933051841136	1-1	86
94	Kansas	1.0578455378721308	1-1	15
95	Navy	1.0447722452986108	0-1	71
96	Boise St.	1.0395326481518776	0-1	93
97	Kent St.	1.0185491860032774	1-1	64
98	Auburn	1.0053336485865139	0-2	89
99	Hawaii	0.9988694402463907	0-1	70
100	Penn St.	0.9890620364966769	0-2	106
101	Connecticut	0.9843590487792603	1-1	42
102	Syracuse	0.9707116370520662	0-2	79
103	Texas A&M	0.9491347812214557	0-1	111
104	San Diego St.	0.941196639964607	1-1	75
105	Boston College	0.9330816341140006	1-1	78
106	FIU	0.9289919006661855	1-1	99
107	California	0.919942093181415	1-1	84
108	Fla. Atlantic	0.9182920000383281	1-1	44
109	Pittsburgh	0.8946084460171668	0-2	102
110	UTEP	0.8910476519505	0-2	103
111	Vanderbilt	0.8752927971356347	0-2	97
112	Wyoming	0.7751609070754808	0-2	81
113	Massachusetts	0.7311305670115593	0-2	91
114	Eastern Mich.	0.7289546678519186	0-2	95
115	UNLV	0.7231308977475057	0-2	92
116	UAB	0.7118217852600026	0-1	85
117	Georgia St.	0.6633859963771429	0-2	0
118	Houston	0.6593745503261743	0-2	88
119	Tulane	0.6528426004990815	0-2	96
120	Southern Miss.	0.5819650837758398	0-1	100
121	Army	0.5717121329318589	0-1	111
122	Akron	0.5616517883620068	0-2	72
123	Idaho	0.5381325608121398	0-2	110
124	Memphis	0.5139116347490247	0-2	98
125	Colorado	0.5063902276602354	0-2	82