OFRS 2012 - Week 12

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 12

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Florida (4)	1.8636354122701562	10-1	4
2	Notre Dame (1)	1.8596370929556632	11-0	3
3	Alabama (2)	1.8476197868297877	10-1	2
4	Kansas St. (6)	1.8249151157937376	10-1	1
5	LSU (7)	1.7879197572494072	9-2	6
6	Oregon (5)	1.7593880279902632	10-1	5
7	Texas A&M (9)	1.7479168507833642	9-2	7
8	Ohio St.	1.724166979337233	11-0	8
9	Georgia (3)	1.7183180141582748	10-1	11
10	Stanford (8)	1.6826547158729792	9-2	15
11	Kent St. (23)	1.673674711641493	10-1	13
12	Florida St. (10)	1.670952478850863	10-1	10
13	Clemson (11)	1.658866991059763	10-1	14
14	Oregon St. (15)	1.6516547158929713	8-2	16
15	South Carolina (12)	1.651224970650918	9-2	20
16	Nebraska (14)	1.6463353521509905	9-2	17
17	Rutgers (18)	1.638941222292761	9-1	19
18	Oklahoma (13)	1.6358564147057986	8-2	12
19	Mississippi St.	1.6123564181379129	8-3	27
20	Northern Ill.	1.598171831480169	10-1	26
21	Louisiana Tech	1.590194469970083	9-2	9
22	Louisville (20)	1.5883855011752652	9-1	22
23	Texas (16)	1.5879310115644831	8-2	21
24	San Jose St.	1.5816840649356403	9-2	28
25	Boise St. (22)	1.5765085845324536	9-2	24
26	Fresno St.	1.5732235130728838	8-3	23
27	Utah St.	1.5703084998607264	9-2	31
28	UCLA (17)	1.556044131181344	9-2	33
29	Michigan (19)	1.538047692325031	8-3	32
30	Ohio	1.5327935553335938	8-3	18
31	Northwestern	1.5253828671106688	8-3	41
32	Tulsa	1.5106221349745845	9-2	40
33	Arkansas St.	1.501042411310701	8-3	36
34	Cincinnati	1.4957506755860566	7-3	25
35	Oklahoma St. (21)	1.4947592365337536	7-3	38
36	Toledo	1.4943546471870177	8-3	29
37	Ball St.	1.4841887123866822	8-3	46
38	Arizona (24)	1.4813227015288704	7-4	37
39	San Diego St.	1.4757171623161263	8-3	35
40	Penn St.	1.4740693834839664	7-4	43
41	Washington (25)	1.4583333346731688	7-4	45
42	Wisconsin	1.4571820039847234	7-4	34
43	UCF	1.440522285456465	8-3	39
44	Middle Tenn.	1.4233570672990583	7-3	54
45	Texas Tech	1.421803264699498	7-4	30
46	Miami (FL)	1.420840634726144	6-5	48
47	Southern California	1.405215332968839	7-4	44
48	West Virginia	1.3911821028922717	5-5	42
49	North Carolina	1.3908019273217445	7-4	56
50	Syracuse	1.3886786671697942	6-5	52
51	UTSA	1.3763010413846613	7-4	55
52	Bowling Green	1.3759540110707442	7-4	47
53	TCU	1.3604307175399086	6-4	49
54	Baylor	1.3561079428297718	5-5	70
55	BYU	1.3512360460056967	6-5	53
56	Vanderbilt	1.3509696287444575	7-4	63
57	Iowa St.	1.3492116884149528	6-5	57
58	Navy	1.343860328353532	7-4	59
59	Michigan St.	1.3354001466402754	5-6	50
60	La.-Monroe	1.3309512193214814	7-4	65
61	Arizona St.	1.3250892224696202	6-5	61
62	Duke	1.3201789442252136	6-5	51
63	Missouri	1.3199495265607017	5-6	58
64	La.-Lafayette	1.3150127342043305	6-4	68
65	Ole Miss	1.3061416173472211	5-6	62
66	Georgia Tech	1.2995056395158033	6-5	73
67	East Carolina	1.2776406846536001	7-4	67
68	Minnesota	1.275116099240873	6-5	60
69	Pittsburgh	1.2680616725608351	4-6	69
70	North Carolina St.	1.2628744771676412	6-5	64
71	Purdue	1.2626671832868746	5-6	75
72	Nevada	1.2619729883462278	7-4	72
73	Western Ky.	1.253517428513369	6-5	66
74	Virginia Tech	1.2402854491591613	5-6	76
75	Wake Forest	1.2273630110356035	5-6	71
76	Iowa	1.2134691793665608	4-7	77
77	Tennessee	1.186999314430004	4-7	74
78	Arkansas	1.1708870173843486	4-7	79
79	Rice	1.161493614195634	5-6	92
80	Marshall	1.1509744333783756	5-6	88
81	SMU	1.138388395243858	5-6	80
82	Virginia	1.137638640880203	4-7	78
83	Utah	1.135440994465434	4-7	83
84	Wyoming	1.132002326171647	4-7	96
85	Air Force	1.1298985445818162	6-5	90
86	Troy	1.1278729137600836	5-6	84
87	Buffalo	1.11719869228099	4-7	89
88	Temple	1.1163488532290633	4-6	98
89	Indiana	1.112963469800573	4-7	85
90	North Texas	1.112281605776914	4-7	82
91	Miami (OH)	1.1101804612198356	4-7	81
92	Central Mich.	1.0953512002853714	5-6	99
93	South Fla.	1.0824140837210938	3-7	86
94	New Mexico	1.0691637438093302	4-8	93
95	California	1.068314971227458	3-9	94
96	Houston	1.0585811621607673	4-7	87
97	Auburn	1.0521079994440494	3-8	109
98	Texas St.	1.049462636400978	3-7	91
99	Fla. Atlantic	1.047460595558973	3-8	95
100	Kentucky	1.043265142386352	2-9	110
101	Maryland	1.0270075919531059	4-7	100
102	Colorado St.	1.0203878280755305	3-8	101
103	Western Mich.	1.0160676891057359	4-8	97
104	Connecticut	1.012208493964633	4-6	102
105	FIU	0.9736790613288965	3-8	112
106	Memphis	0.963642157503691	3-8	113
107	Army	0.944708143946254	2-9	103
108	Boston College	0.943215162982313	2-9	108
109	Kansas	0.9313126200026814	1-10	104
110	UAB	0.9239129568751836	3-8	106
111	Illinois	0.9110817507085808	2-9	105
112	Washington St.	0.9070835928724307	2-9	111
113	UTEP	0.9068560490186217	3-8	114
114	Eastern Mich.	0.9060212695693012	2-9	115
115	UNLV	0.9053131703815998	2-10	107
116	South Ala.	0.8504328844642005	2-9	116
117	Tulane	0.8186128115025131	2-9	119
118	Idaho	0.8107148031168364	1-10	117
119	Colorado	0.7869899768873212	1-10	118
120	Akron	0.7778905759395955	1-10	121
121	Hawaii	0.7718472732640789	1-9	120
122	New Mexico St.	0.7638332162358721	1-9	122
123	Massachusetts	0.7193333156836124	1-10	123
124	Southern Miss.	0.6892048518358808	0-11	124

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	63.17		Conference USA	87.33		Pacific-12	54.50
Big 12	44.60		Independents	55.50		SEC	42.50
Big East	59.62		Mid-American	70.46		Sun Belt	77.00
Big Ten	53.33		Mountain West	76.30		WAC	65.86

1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the BCS:
 20
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the BCS:
 0
3) Avg distance in rank from OFRS to the BCS Top 25:
 5.0
4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
 40-14 (74.07%)

OFRS 2012 - Week 11

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 11

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Kansas St. (1)	1.99628753105437	10-0	1
2	Alabama (4)	1.861160748613419	9-1	2
3	Notre Dame (3)	1.8470277568699318	10-0	3
4	Florida (6)	1.826018722821396	9-1	4
5	Oregon (2)	1.804607110302187	10-0	5
6	LSU (7)	1.7543259825731121	8-2	6
7	Texas A&M (8)	1.7113041133671187	8-2	13
8	Ohio St.	1.7049068276700312	10-0	7
9	Louisiana Tech (20)	1.6917291535051227	9-1	12
10	Florida St. (10)	1.6609546374951094	9-1	9
11	Georgia (5)	1.6505742377994355	9-1	17
12	Oklahoma (12)	1.6495017580427542	7-2	11
13	Kent St.	1.6366687659185533	9-1	14
14	Clemson (11)	1.6311192434092059	9-1	15
15	Stanford (13)	1.626792893994839	8-2	20
16	Oregon St. (16)	1.6190942574678693	7-2	10
17	Nebraska (14)	1.6116391466838924	8-2	21
18	Ohio	1.6040940729185191	8-2	16
19	Rutgers (22)	1.5939612485562327	8-1	19
20	South Carolina (9)	1.5928761231059907	8-2	23
21	Texas (15)	1.5820952849958538	8-2	28
22	Louisville (19)	1.5738332921883114	9-1	8
23	Fresno St.	1.5658004762529658	8-3	35
24	Boise St.	1.5607628004513958	8-2	32
25	Cincinnati	1.5463199872296	7-2	26
26	Northern Ill.	1.5406240360327887	9-1	27
27	Mississippi St.	1.5402717146996667	7-3	18
28	San Jose St.	1.531212773327767	8-2	31
29	Toledo	1.5282301247665413	8-2	25
30	Texas Tech (23)	1.51647238144556	7-3	22
31	Utah St.	1.509665370104814	8-2	34
32	Michigan (21)	1.5056390306291862	7-3	37
33	UCLA (17)	1.500247862610796	8-2	29
34	Wisconsin	1.4732377039206275	7-3	45
35	San Diego St.	1.465552157299289	8-3	42
36	Arkansas St.	1.4622452366864824	7-3	46
37	Arizona	1.4581537064546495	6-4	38
38	Oklahoma St. (24)	1.4530646393375461	6-3	39
39	UCF	1.4514058811239834	8-2	43
40	Tulsa	1.4499970335269545	8-2	44
41	Northwestern	1.4484078842522505	7-3	33
42	West Virginia	1.4461412998114147	5-4	24
43	Penn St.	1.4432720605157816	6-4	30
44	Southern California (18)	1.4369567812298556	7-3	48
45	Washington (25)	1.4357327072756647	6-4	47
46	Ball St.	1.412913150957485	7-3	53
47	Bowling Green	1.4039591580579254	7-3	62
48	Miami (FL)	1.3876289752296347	5-5	36
49	TCU	1.3799483522515887	6-4	54
50	Michigan St.	1.3710351549214288	5-5	56
51	Duke	1.3620016704696014	6-4	52
52	Syracuse	1.3613244515521714	5-5	66
53	BYU	1.3607985362447759	6-4	58
54	Middle Tenn.	1.3477144918472352	6-3	57
55	UTSA	1.3472698103824348	6-4	69
56	North Carolina	1.3429546867140054	6-4	40
57	Iowa St.	1.3410865849838722	5-5	41
58	Missouri	1.3392597553896106	5-5	60
59	Navy	1.3082254788469543	6-4	49
60	Minnesota	1.3081734109517429	6-4	65
61	Arizona St.	1.3063711343716145	5-5	51
62	Ole Miss	1.2959053554261346	5-5	55
63	Vanderbilt	1.2774418940189922	6-4	74
64	North Carolina St.	1.2768613637145072	6-4	73
65	La.-Monroe	1.269160846707556	6-4	59
66	Western Ky.	1.2658853094160312	6-4	50
67	East Carolina	1.2540361344774356	6-4	71
68	La.-Lafayette	1.2528656812342167	5-4	70
69	Pittsburgh	1.2431008301965827	4-6	63
70	Baylor	1.2412161675894604	4-5	67
71	Wake Forest	1.232675341425973	5-5	61
72	Nevada	1.222066945219139	6-4	68
73	Georgia Tech	1.2207492505022293	5-5	81
74	Tennessee	1.2192998443024918	4-6	64
75	Purdue	1.2152289614615417	4-6	79
76	Virginia Tech	1.1997969065941985	4-6	78
77	Iowa	1.1967972645152718	4-6	72
78	Virginia	1.1800574270293593	4-6	84
79	Arkansas	1.175914845720255	4-6	75
80	SMU	1.1723025181828621	5-5	83
81	Miami (OH)	1.1674648725379255	4-6	80
82	North Texas	1.1585795624023336	4-6	86
83	Utah	1.1423338731549322	4-6	76
84	Troy	1.1384534529058459	5-5	95
85	Indiana	1.1349767803205097	4-6	77
86	South Fla.	1.1077304315344516	3-6	85
87	Houston	1.1036388326486963	4-6	89
88	Marshall	1.1001947931234801	4-6	82
89	Buffalo	1.0992164577329362	3-7	96
90	Air Force	1.091490412535739	5-5	88
91	Texas St.	1.0874513372586745	3-6	94
92	Rice	1.0831309432715286	4-6	93
93	New Mexico	1.0797108628890757	4-7	90
94	California	1.076880743850654	3-8	92
95	Fla. Atlantic	1.075863307258345	3-7	103
96	Wyoming	1.074474219309407	3-7	104
97	Western Mich.	1.0732729051145276	4-7	87
98	Temple	1.0571282309371264	3-6	91
99	Central Mich.	1.040907838960314	4-6	99
100	Maryland	1.0180456631113937	4-6	97
101	Colorado St.	1.0087300470729301	3-7	107
102	Connecticut	1.0008752792373639	4-6	111
103	Army	0.9789152702647417	2-8	101
104	Kansas	0.9730760269257995	1-9	102
105	Illinois	0.9623266144153378	2-8	100
106	UAB	0.9562527915797063	3-7	113
107	UNLV	0.9525199820515007	2-9	98
108	Boston College	0.9495290217028596	2-8	109
109	Auburn	0.9371777703048261	2-8	105
110	Kentucky	0.9321125415265934	1-9	106
111	Washington St.	0.9286931603159364	2-8	110
112	FIU	0.9149096057058494	2-8	108
113	Memphis	0.8805196229312267	2-8	120
114	UTEP	0.8756965419169154	2-8	114
115	Eastern Mich.	0.8517488209397214	1-9	112
116	South Ala.	0.848085820229068	2-8	115
117	Idaho	0.8137599512584823	1-9	118
118	Colorado	0.8098965004503849	1-9	119
119	Tulane	0.8026132693029319	2-8	116
120	Hawaii	0.7947133073941967	1-8	122
121	Akron	0.7943180351923014	1-10	117
122	New Mexico St.	0.7729964873063992	1-9	121
123	Massachusetts	0.7444870677033645	1-9	124
124	Southern Miss.	0.6988855990257163	0-10	123

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	62.42		Conference USA	89.08		Pacific-12	55.17
Big 12	42.40		Independents	54.50		SEC	45.14
Big East	59.12		Mid-American	69.54		Sun Belt	77.80
Big Ten	52.25		Mountain West	76.10		WAC	64.71

1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the BCS:
 19
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the BCS:
 5 [Kansas St., Notre Dame, Florida St., Oklahoma,
  Oregon St.]
3) Avg distance in rank from OFRS to the BCS Top 25:
 6.04
4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
 35-21 (62.50%)

OFRS 2012 - Week 10

Week 10 of the OFRS. Kansas St. has jumped Alabama for the number one spot, and lets be honest, Alabama didn't look particularly spectacular during that game. Anyway, here are the ranks:

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 10

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Kansas St. (2)	2.07602215146935	9-0	2
2	Alabama (1)	1.9989758071162615	9-0	1
3	Notre Dame (4)	1.8761926436930871	9-0	3
4	Florida (6)	1.7821921043331996	8-1	4
5	Oregon (3)	1.7723519200143105	9-0	5
6	LSU (7)	1.7100624344477777	7-2	9
7	Ohio St.	1.7094686266829342	10-0	7
8	Louisville (9)	1.6885062242835767	9-0	11
9	Florida St. (10)	1.6709222024827772	8-1	10
10	Oregon St. (11)	1.6626386851790582	7-1	14
11	Oklahoma (12)	1.659118324498727	6-2	13
12	Louisiana Tech (20)	1.6547799401195322	8-1	19
13	Texas A&M (15)	1.6287181529541648	7-2	23
14	Kent St.	1.6274392346494837	8-1	17
15	Clemson (13)	1.6253798942529043	8-1	15
16	Ohio	1.6252675826040224	8-1	6
17	Georgia (5)	1.619203758075174	8-1	21
18	Mississippi St. (21)	1.6060832915383456	7-2	8
19	Rutgers (23)	1.5863724925648333	7-1	20
20	Stanford (14)	1.5854653670934034	7-2	18
21	Nebraska (16)	1.5689298475955935	7-2	28
22	Texas Tech (22)	1.5581324597511408	6-3	12
23	South Carolina (8)	1.5536837628926492	7-2	26
24	West Virginia	1.5523155706220209	5-3	16
25	Toledo (25)	1.5492326471411857	8-1	24
26	Cincinnati	1.5366977897386005	6-2	27
27	Northern Ill.	1.5349227483920074	9-1	30
28	Texas (17)	1.5266812188242265	7-2	33
29	UCLA (18)	1.5232643596460014	7-2	39
30	Penn St.	1.519270273485208	6-3	32
31	San Jose St.	1.5073531261103394	7-2	29
32	Boise St.	1.5040587534196832	7-2	22
33	Northwestern (24)	1.4965582905565566	7-2	31
34	Utah St.	1.4838201967476652	8-2	40
35	Fresno St.	1.4785316080787214	7-3	37
36	Miami (FL)	1.4751507312846932	5-4	43
37	Michigan	1.4735713229317597	6-3	36
38	Arizona	1.4523214054087137	5-4	25
39	Oklahoma St.	1.4349793197984388	5-3	42
40	North Carolina	1.432733660267616	6-3	41
41	Iowa St.	1.4125442057090978	5-4	35
42	San Diego St.	1.409381035763044	7-3	61
43	UCF	1.4093232511384	7-2	54
44	Tulsa	1.404991938319575	7-2	34
45	Wisconsin	1.4013738169194858	6-3	46
46	Arkansas St.	1.3895507322774439	6-3	56
47	Washington	1.3876855458606605	5-4	50
48	Southern California (19)	1.3780355311998767	6-3	44
49	Navy	1.3769148609444335	6-3	53
50	Western Ky.	1.3746738153684064	6-3	38
51	Arizona St.	1.3738773724882798	5-4	45
52	Duke	1.372409177536488	6-4	51
53	Ball St.	1.3652203187632652	6-3	55
54	TCU	1.3584408713506564	6-3	60
55	Ole Miss	1.3547914727138315	5-4	48
56	Michigan St.	1.3532784766828772	5-5	47
57	Middle Tenn.	1.3530413823314429	6-3	65
58	BYU	1.332024769364266	5-4	58
59	La.-Monroe	1.3242709614092842	6-3	49
60	Missouri	1.3116745604867248	4-5	52
61	Wake Forest	1.2930803226919159	5-4	73
62	Bowling Green	1.2911063541629597	6-3	64
63	Pittsburgh	1.2771957531336087	4-5	69
64	Tennessee	1.2719198857943075	4-5	67
65	Minnesota	1.266904540460361	5-4	57
66	Syracuse	1.2652251622168722	4-5	62
67	Baylor	1.2644277714349408	4-4	71
68	Nevada	1.2598520027565536	6-3	66
69	UTSA	1.2516150458916457	5-4	72
70	La.-Lafayette	1.25138785540427	5-3	79
71	East Carolina	1.2476629554185128	6-4	77
72	Iowa	1.2369340176555002	4-5	63
73	North Carolina St.	1.225837682387935	5-4	59
74	Vanderbilt	1.224016467769866	5-4	75
75	Arkansas	1.2204483678003593	4-5	80
76	Utah	1.2000442428895892	4-5	84
77	Indiana	1.1994931037831005	4-5	82
78	Virginia Tech	1.1906069781514834	4-5	68
79	Purdue	1.1507291983569738	3-6	78
80	Miami (OH)	1.1440201122799816	4-5	70
81	Georgia Tech	1.1320050937926631	4-5	95
82	Marshall	1.130531632923775	4-5	88
83	SMU	1.1242454824924504	4-5	85
84	Virginia	1.1237692704468012	3-6	99
85	South Fla.	1.12213950030323	3-6	93
86	North Texas	1.1192667895235273	3-6	83
87	Western Mich.	1.11628806854155	4-6	92
88	Air Force	1.114886803674815	5-4	74
89	Houston	1.1111089012947881	4-5	81
90	New Mexico	1.108370285805527	4-6	76
91	Temple	1.1013012267319142	3-5	87
92	California	1.0736677110156965	3-7	90
93	Rice	1.072576068348797	4-6	97
94	Texas St.	1.0708064246320261	3-5	89
95	Troy	1.066104434918333	4-5	86
96	Buffalo	1.030562870547214	2-7	102
97	Maryland	1.0187687902981872	4-5	91
98	UNLV	1.008708775052172	2-8	107
99	Central Mich.	1.0073551380675352	3-6	94
100	Illinois	0.9963424875512813	2-7	100
101	Army	0.9918256452505987	2-7	113
102	Kansas	0.9914719456409135	1-8	98
103	Fla. Atlantic	0.9884719140338466	2-7	96
104	Wyoming	0.9794463322720355	2-7	109
105	Auburn	0.9467750346948698	2-7	110
106	Kentucky	0.9446095888060836	1-9	104
107	Colorado St.	0.9252197951700415	2-7	101
108	FIU	0.9245364688330396	2-8	115
109	Boston College	0.9226584564145754	2-7	105
110	Washington St.	0.919016483840849	2-7	108
111	Connecticut	0.9114181656845637	3-6	103
112	Eastern Mich.	0.8799375399162851	1-8	116
113	UAB	0.8668880678681192	2-7	118
114	UTEP	0.8605506382835238	2-7	112
115	South Ala.	0.8596763215780239	2-7	106
116	Tulane	0.8403990595401919	2-7	111
117	Akron	0.8362228673847131	1-9	119
118	Idaho	0.8094003819683847	1-8	120
119	Colorado	0.8044091478919453	1-8	117
120	Memphis	0.7941334595629624	1-8	121
121	New Mexico St.	0.7693263137660009	1-8	114
122	Hawaii	0.7576862610739525	1-7	122
123	Southern Miss.	0.7157326753051292	0-9	123
124	Massachusetts	0.6648060554338282	0-9	124

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	61.25		Conference USA	90.92		Pacific-12	53.75
Big 12	38.90		Independents	52.75		SEC	44.43
Big East	58.62		Mid-American	70.15		Sun Belt	78.90
Big Ten	51.83		Mountain West	78.60		WAC	68.43

1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the BCS:
 21
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the BCS:
 2 [Texas Tech, Toledo]
3) Avg distance in rank from OFRS to the BCS Top 25:
 5.16
4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
 40-16 (71.43%)