OFRS 2012 - Week 3

Welcome back for the week 3 OFRS rankings. One note this week, Oregon St.'s rating is based on a single game because of the postponed Nicholls St. game from week 1 and a bye week in week 3. This statistical anomaly could be seen last week as well with a lot of the teams coming off of a week 1 bye jumping very high in the rankings.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens
Year: 2012
Week: 3
1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the AP Top 25:
17
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the AP Top 25:
2 [Alabama, Texas]
3) Average distance in rank from OFRS top 25 to the AP Top 25:
11.4
4) Percentage games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
31-16 (65.96%)

Team Rankings
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Alabama	2.02817962092581	3-0	3
2	Oregon St.	1.9833645350423668	1-0	2
3	Iowa St.	1.837093391602328	3-0	10
4	Stanford	1.7947846712294335	3-0	9
5	Mississippi St.	1.7896543094554165	3-0	36
6	Notre Dame	1.7644410215098552	3-0	19
7	Oregon	1.761930248952599	3-0	16
8	Arizona	1.7573252972398796	3-0	12
9	West Virginia	1.7568978000907172	2-0	6
10	Florida St.	1.7302919538663017	3-0	29
11	Florida	1.7153622483470015	3-0	37
12	Texas	1.695190708650462	3-0	23
13	Texas Tech	1.6914395116154417	3-0	5
14	Georgia	1.666039163556075	3-0	14
15	LSU	1.664310533783355	3-0	7
16	Baylor	1.6241284493920805	2-0	15
17	Ohio	1.603805605800003	3-0	20
18	Oklahoma	1.5977008980823622	2-0	55
19	Minnesota	1.5974411892274838	3-0	22
20	Rutgers	1.5960968955626909	3-0	41
21	Northwestern	1.588295574798424	3-0	50
22	Ohio St.	1.5870500303132122	3-0	17
23	UCLA	1.5798651273215494	3-0	11
24	Clemson	1.5638193895826848	3-0	27
25	South Carolina	1.5498509401280312	3-0	38
26	Cincinnati	1.549480422275422	2-0	52
27	Wisconsin	1.5459785636127252	2-1	33
28	Louisville	1.5457821575250221	3-0	26
29	Kansas St.	1.5366634273764788	3-0	30
30	TCU	1.5363203755954822	2-0	1
31	Michigan St.	1.5157945825160704	2-1	28
32	Iowa	1.4931657934492377	2-1	58
33	Arizona St.	1.4861239097334047	2-1	18
34	Washington	1.485424595018391	2-1	54
35	Western Ky.	1.4838492256502518	2-1	67
36	Michigan	1.4825418228014255	2-1	47
37	UTSA	1.4825118982073366	3-0	13
38	Ole Miss	1.4785673865434905	2-1	42
39	Utah	1.447259198572969	2-1	44
40	Missouri	1.4469474752816314	2-1	82
41	Oklahoma St.	1.4400285953855638	2-1	84
42	Southern California	1.4343579750099233	2-1	45
43	Louisiana Tech	1.4285505575836315	2-0	60
44	Purdue	1.4209293011870088	2-1	51
45	South Fla.	1.39790320048056	2-1	35
46	Wake Forest	1.387935315762511	2-1	31
47	Utah St.	1.3747533447952835	2-1	25
48	San Jose St.	1.3677089634654476	2-1	49
49	Tennessee	1.3639324655408838	2-1	32
50	Miami (FL)	1.3559311467403248	2-1	70
51	UCF	1.3487321995993535	2-1	86
52	Texas A&M	1.3364923759798009	1-1	103
53	Georgia Tech	1.331982835702812	2-1	46
54	Ball St.	1.3317747071855959	2-1	87
55	Duke	1.3286043756284542	2-1	66
56	Toledo	1.3254628012181913	2-1	81
57	North Carolina St.	1.3196035316302281	2-1	62
58	Nebraska	1.3159983536590876	2-1	79
59	Fresno St.	1.3144234011297038	2-1	90
60	Virginia	1.3111424903991253	2-1	40
61	San Diego St.	1.3106187264131504	2-1	104
62	BYU	1.3061472752388765	2-1	34
63	La.-Lafayette	1.3028506448505712	2-1	8
64	Indiana	1.302549182552205	2-1	21
65	Auburn	1.2889988181964698	1-2	98
66	Tulsa	1.2715545965142145	2-1	83
67	Pittsburgh	1.2614414547567208	1-2	109
68	Connecticut	1.2567439573090133	2-1	101
69	Middle Tenn.	1.2554235319618932	2-1	43
70	Texas St.	1.250187978531145	1-1	80
71	Marshall	1.2467768706740505	1-2	48
72	Nevada	1.2452329652015035	2-1	71
73	Illinois	1.2423922709854338	2-1	63
74	Syracuse	1.2360730808897324	1-2	102
75	Northern Ill.	1.2275931001018285	2-1	91
76	Arkansas	1.2222819378211218	1-2	53
77	Temple	1.2220174953209275	1-1	73
78	New Mexico	1.2210557330218292	1-2	78
79	East Carolina	1.2109866411711505	2-1	76
80	Maryland	1.2066895082619922	2-1	39
81	Washington St.	1.1993785110570072	2-1	72
82	Vanderbilt	1.1962285627963987	1-2	111
83	Virginia Tech	1.194592956885083	2-1	24
84	Air Force	1.1940734073579247	1-1	85
85	Buffalo	1.1899929127491211	1-1	75
86	North Texas	1.1858746294853706	1-2	59
87	North Carolina	1.1743772288765557	1-2	65
88	Kentucky	1.1480735992358597	1-2	57
89	Troy	1.1418688516849407	1-2	74
90	Boise St.	1.1396436041305538	1-1	96
91	Kent St.	1.1157604809998976	1-1	97
92	Hawaii	1.1153007222335387	1-1	99
93	Western Mich.	1.1132343287741964	1-2	89
94	UTEP	1.1115690637894289	1-2	110
95	Central Mich.	1.1032313818794532	1-1	64
96	Rice	1.0986460470486417	1-2	69
97	Kansas	1.090111846992237	1-2	94
98	Boston College	1.0776498567500399	1-2	106
99	SMU	1.0413476528662402	1-2	61
100	Arkansas St.	1.0374454147758398	1-2	88
101	New Mexico St.	1.0327823790037753	1-2	56
102	La.-Monroe	1.0321940766608335	1-1	4
103	Penn St.	1.0297449551774238	1-2	100
104	Colorado St.	1.0253383506985854	1-2	77
105	California	1.023263787291052	1-2	107
106	South Ala.	0.9979226556226741	1-2	68
107	Bowling Green	0.9924871409669849	1-2	93
108	FIU	0.9856950820951779	1-2	105
109	Wyoming	0.967436904160412	0-3	112
110	Miami (OH)	0.9348599406663887	1-2	92
111	Fla. Atlantic	0.9296724516890943	1-2	108
112	Akron	0.911019556897274	1-2	121
113	Houston	0.8216512248672782	0-3	117
114	Tulane	0.8091566420589804	0-2	118
115	Navy	0.7852967014288113	0-2	95
116	UNLV	0.7681119487898797	0-3	115
117	UAB	0.7269972861098868	0-2	116
118	Eastern Mich.	0.7196511005483828	0-3	114
119	Idaho	0.6893240743567861	0-3	122
120	Army	0.674469432298915	0-2	120
121	Massachusetts	0.6465088152140754	0-3	113
122	Southern Miss.	0.6464923531780448	0-2	119
123	Colorado	0.5498345508209893	0-3	124
124	Memphis	0.542200041712402	0-3	123