OFRS 2012 - Week 9

Week 9 is over and a lot of upsets have caused the ranks to shake up a bit. Notably: Florida only dropped two ranks to 4, Oregon has moved up into the top 5, and Kent St. launched into the top 25 at 17. Also of note: So far this year, the OFRS has matched the top 3 teams two of the three weeks, and matched the top 2 in the first week.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 9

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Alabama (1)	2.051562133360767	8-0	1
2	Kansas St. (2)	1.9692287662343486	8-0	3
3	Notre Dame (3)	1.8828151601804115	8-0	4
4	Florida (7)	1.752404478730591	7-1	2
5	Oregon (4)	1.7519097269737567	8-0	8
6	Ohio	1.710702406937629	7-1	7
7	Ohio St.	1.7001335720766513	9-0	13
8	Mississippi St. (15)	1.687006275187668	7-1	5
9	LSU (5)	1.682627317053394	7-1	12
10	Florida St. (9)	1.6526247961925884	8-1	14
11	Louisville (10)	1.6384710867893657	8-0	20
12	Texas Tech (18)	1.6360004676501054	6-2	10
13	Oklahoma (12)	1.6275923389270064	5-2	11
14	Oregon St. (11)	1.6230726767144756	6-1	6
15	Clemson (13)	1.6050211541100963	7-1	21
16	West Virginia (21)	1.6014263997489724	5-2	15
17	Kent St.	1.5824864909052017	7-1	30
18	Stanford (14)	1.5767229230002093	6-2	17
19	Louisiana Tech (25)	1.5699058225380267	7-1	27
20	Rutgers	1.5684748099347394	7-1	9
21	Georgia (6)	1.564258694241266	7-1	39
22	Boise St. (19)	1.5566858603809823	7-1	25
23	Texas A&M (16)	1.5537155432713474	6-2	18
24	Toledo	1.5416024535896904	8-1	23
25	Arizona (22)	1.536747018567494	5-3	34
26	South Carolina (8)	1.5296213594243513	7-2	24
27	Cincinnati	1.5242149348014389	5-2	16
28	Nebraska (20)	1.5182620003783511	6-2	35
29	San Jose St.	1.5100172813445698	6-2	32
30	Northern Ill.	1.500461728462845	8-1	31
31	Northwestern	1.497018176810218	7-2	37
32	Penn St.	1.4930547098757203	5-3	19
33	Texas (23)	1.4745839676499604	6-2	26
34	Tulsa	1.4741142377188243	7-1	33
35	Iowa St.	1.4735670627524746	5-3	36
36	Michigan	1.4706140772542484	5-3	22
37	Fresno St.	1.4611368612921811	6-3	43
38	Western Ky.	1.4545530791624084	6-2	40
39	UCLA	1.453647859865618	6-2	42
40	Utah St.	1.4522910222904566	7-2	49
41	North Carolina	1.4275806223940883	6-3	47
42	Oklahoma St. (24)	1.4255316420449529	5-2	51
43	Miami (FL)	1.4116778580773728	4-4	45
44	Southern California (17)	1.40289084429449	6-2	28
45	Arizona St.	1.3988384637683464	5-3	38
46	Wisconsin	1.3976783316587646	6-3	29
47	Michigan St.	1.397168012809345	5-4	54
48	Ole Miss	1.3955011942088182	5-3	50
49	La.-Monroe	1.3817319587267662	6-2	52
50	Washington	1.372217177709272	4-4	71
51	Duke	1.3685774903663075	6-3	44
52	Missouri	1.3552992205302061	4-4	55
53	Navy	1.3508692124062618	5-3	68
54	UCF	1.3454335340871928	6-2	57
55	Ball St.	1.3370524411304228	6-3	60
56	Arkansas St.	1.3329674153335758	5-3	75
57	Minnesota	1.3226010621095738	5-3	62
58	BYU	1.321408575172163	5-4	70
59	North Carolina St.	1.3160364257554615	5-3	41
60	TCU	1.3137943308159565	5-3	46
61	San Diego St.	1.31300335895954	6-3	61
62	Syracuse	1.3119810619603807	4-4	58
63	Iowa	1.3066602724635454	4-4	56
64	Bowling Green	1.2934866058757106	6-3	67
65	Middle Tenn.	1.282484720904588	5-3	74
66	Nevada	1.2609340697887386	6-3	53
67	Tennessee	1.249300185470805	3-5	48
68	Virginia Tech	1.2463882056630973	4-4	73
69	Pittsburgh	1.241838307986463	4-4	84
70	Miami (OH)	1.2408172749499855	4-4	89
71	Baylor	1.2367549856181745	3-4	59
72	UTSA	1.2306427278398202	5-3	65
73	Wake Forest	1.2281828435237052	4-4	63
74	Air Force	1.1948109056007954	5-3	87
75	Vanderbilt	1.1898953883874617	4-4	82
76	New Mexico	1.1788155715188133	4-5	76
77	East Carolina	1.1717550599819606	5-4	77
78	Purdue	1.1701593515948385	3-5	72
79	La.-Lafayette	1.1597953106139163	4-3	69
80	Arkansas	1.1582658150511511	3-5	78
81	Houston	1.1470635712082125	4-4	90
82	Indiana	1.1437548895758662	3-5	94
83	North Texas	1.143558231233927	3-5	79
84	Utah	1.1382794158153842	3-5	88
85	SMU	1.1286268380203446	4-4	91
86	Troy	1.1197944874551862	4-4	64
87	Temple	1.1161550473507986	3-4	66
88	Marshall	1.1109598234268336	3-5	86
89	Texas St.	1.1053834465499517	3-4	81
90	California	1.1001998438267089	3-6	83
91	Maryland	1.0796115430886164	4-4	80
92	Western Mich.	1.0627993079026494	3-6	93
93	South Fla.	1.0571897376562225	2-6	85
94	Central Mich.	1.056431431606393	3-5	102
95	Georgia Tech	1.043792107258457	3-5	92
96	Fla. Atlantic	1.0291297182758146	2-6	109
97	Rice	1.0102085566276902	3-6	104
98	Kansas	1.0051805110066383	1-7	98
99	Virginia	0.9936522716288378	2-6	97
100	Illinois	0.9830304357118478	2-6	95
101	Colorado St.	0.9791865680398173	2-6	110
102	Buffalo	0.9733126620022787	1-7	103
103	Connecticut	0.9668876845261739	3-5	99
104	Kentucky	0.9610660866517425	1-8	96
105	Boston College	0.9481261250567479	2-6	113
106	South Ala.	0.9427625447446103	2-6	100
107	UNLV	0.9407108632058405	1-8	106
108	Washington St.	0.938561944915153	2-6	101
109	Wyoming	0.9150011548753112	1-7	108
110	Auburn	0.899132762022991	1-7	105
111	Tulane	0.8856891785183243	2-6	118
112	UTEP	0.8754998690615318	2-7	107
113	Army	0.8492433250025694	1-7	112
114	New Mexico St.	0.8393262754928201	1-7	117
115	FIU	0.8359134136730957	1-8	115
116	Eastern Mich.	0.8301556060436587	1-7	116
117	Colorado	0.8138648559498504	1-7	122
118	UAB	0.8073663740053131	1-7	111
119	Akron	0.8032942232446062	1-8	114
120	Idaho	0.7879927384602613	1-7	121
121	Memphis	0.7852249371942216	1-7	120
122	Hawaii	0.756535707457377	1-6	119
123	Southern Miss.	0.7283150509160476	0-8	123
124	Massachusetts	0.6398986179294528	0-8	124

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	62.50		Conference USA	91.75		Pacific-12	53.25
Big 12	38.20		Independents	56.75		SEC	44.86
Big East	59.00		Mid-American	70.23		Sun Belt	77.30
Big Ten	50.58		Mountain West	77.50		WAC	69.00

1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the BCS:
 20
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the BCS:
 3 [Alabama, Kansas St., Notre Dame]
3) Avg distance in rank from OFRS to the BCS Top 25:
 6.12
4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
 40-18 (68.97%)

OFRS 2012 - Week 8

It is the second week of BCS rankings and the OFRS has matched the top 3 with Notre Dame up one spot to 4. The OFRS has matched the BCS on 21 teams with the four other teams being: Ohio St. (Not allowed to be ranked due to sanctions), Penn St. (Not allowed to be ranked due to sanctions), Toledo (Ranked 26 in the AP Poll), and Cincinnati (Ranked 29 in the USA Today Poll). Also of note, the OFRS was up again from last week predicting 77% of the games correctly.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 8

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Alabama (1)	1.9482398255070867	7-0	1
2	Florida (2)	1.9222303586346443	7-0	2
3	Kansas St. (3)	1.8787943319974245	7-0	6
4	Notre Dame (5)	1.8329230198080089	7-0	3
5	Mississippi St. (11)	1.8128709083238	7-0	12
6	Oregon St. (7)	1.785441191245316	6-0	4
7	Ohio (24)	1.7836927378817702	7-0	5
8	Oregon (4)	1.7541654499187962	7-0	10
9	Rutgers (15)	1.712125742198097	7-0	9
10	Texas Tech (14)	1.7066431795721857	6-1	8
11	Oklahoma (8)	1.7012944510952905	5-1	11
12	LSU (6)	1.6938630527463452	7-1	15
13	Ohio St.	1.6536474491310296	8-0	13
14	Florida St. (12)	1.6363173608857395	7-1	17
15	West Virginia (19)	1.6188670793029656	5-2	7
16	Cincinnati	1.5752682914650822	5-1	14
17	Stanford (17)	1.5728493292814003	5-2	26
18	Texas A&M (20)	1.5652185150631939	5-2	16
19	Penn St.	1.557479513371606	5-2	24
20	Louisville (16)	1.5538190798104923	7-0	22
21	Clemson (18)	1.5478878991853353	6-1	29
22	Michigan (22)	1.5355783017628513	5-2	28
23	Toledo	1.5328129746660928	7-1	39
24	South Carolina (13)	1.532797263269831	6-2	19
25	Boise St. (21)	1.5305458701177093	6-1	20
26	Texas (23)	1.5061390459629156	5-2	30
27	Louisiana Tech	1.5033887131022963	6-1	21
28	Southern California (9)	1.4801456821607335	6-1	32
29	Wisconsin (25)	1.478593633566011	6-2	48
30	Kent St.	1.4783628564701512	6-1	40
31	Northern Ill.	1.470642758584141	7-1	34
32	San Jose St.	1.4699481880551852	5-2	52
33	Tulsa	1.4565778647366103	7-1	38
34	Arizona	1.4530850045398143	4-3	50
35	Nebraska	1.451429421022328	5-2	49
36	Iowa St.	1.450808572349311	4-3	18
37	Northwestern	1.4488283664575918	6-2	27
38	Arizona St.	1.4485459116876327	5-2	23
39	Georgia (10)	1.4461615087839566	6-1	33
40	Western Ky.	1.4250506479115022	5-2	25
41	North Carolina St.	1.3982539918697476	5-2	51
42	UCLA	1.3961614129527318	5-2	42
43	Fresno St.	1.3956672593160138	5-3	53
44	Duke	1.393468330022048	6-2	61
45	Miami (FL)	1.3923924465672812	4-4	45
46	TCU	1.3859708201195742	5-2	37
47	North Carolina	1.381171376100502	5-3	35
48	Tennessee	1.3669251881316167	3-4	59
49	Utah St.	1.360544672129262	6-2	55
50	Ole Miss	1.34210998931101	4-3	54
51	Oklahoma St.	1.3395009899978785	4-2	72
52	La.-Monroe	1.3302217970813404	5-2	65
53	Nevada	1.3287881465628	6-2	43
54	Michigan St.	1.324363264964942	4-4	47
55	Missouri	1.320498526771432	3-4	56
56	Iowa	1.3155881339281716	4-3	36
57	UCF	1.3081170341946504	5-2	62
58	Syracuse	1.305383692456232	3-4	69
59	Baylor	1.3041058375628443	3-3	41
60	Ball St.	1.2967455979047013	5-3	68
61	San Diego St.	1.2961242208855597	5-3	79
62	Minnesota	1.2842353052067157	4-3	44
63	Wake Forest	1.2831439401774376	4-3	75
64	Troy	1.2780302329758273	4-3	70
65	UTSA	1.2672295865575052	5-2	31
66	Temple	1.2657293433446513	3-3	60
67	Bowling Green	1.2642414130390454	5-3	77
68	Navy	1.262534041979687	4-3	80
69	La.-Lafayette	1.2623331007304706	4-2	46
70	BYU	1.2615264940795057	4-4	66
71	Washington	1.2602692446118735	3-4	57
72	Purdue	1.255218570889719	3-4	76
73	Virginia Tech	1.2394080409254913	4-4	64
74	Middle Tenn.	1.2392122776587784	4-3	74
75	Arkansas St.	1.236237851284925	4-3	71
76	New Mexico	1.2313937420215364	4-4	63
77	East Carolina	1.2218911277903295	5-3	78
78	Arkansas	1.2147562740885625	3-4	73
79	North Texas	1.2140046107153548	3-4	92
80	Maryland	1.1992444269756322	4-3	58
81	Texas St.	1.1829615412402672	3-3	82
82	Vanderbilt	1.1774664942418618	3-4	85
83	California	1.1734322912710895	3-5	67
84	Pittsburgh	1.1550780042752973	3-4	87
85	South Fla.	1.1547880250609974	2-5	81
86	Marshall	1.146391119648526	3-4	86
87	Air Force	1.099128717810603	4-3	97
88	Utah	1.0990965311537655	2-5	88
89	Miami (OH)	1.0876317593537985	3-4	90
90	Houston	1.0803566081356584	3-4	84
91	SMU	1.0640172123397025	3-4	105
92	Georgia Tech	1.0639361395276854	3-4	100
93	Western Mich.	1.0491974953621066	3-5	91
94	Indiana	1.0480328015748108	2-5	83
95	Illinois	1.0454251437673847	2-5	95
96	Kentucky	1.0415374792010272	1-7	94
97	Virginia	1.0237227000803046	2-6	93
98	Kansas	1.006624078870018	1-6	99
99	Connecticut	1.005782593039222	3-5	89
100	South Ala.	1.0000123002910282	2-5	104
101	Washington St.	0.9721769982243182	2-5	102
102	Central Mich.	0.9679573766155973	2-5	96
103	Buffalo	0.961037586955068	1-6	98
104	Rice	0.9524342138125065	2-6	101
105	Auburn	0.9406346640125868	1-6	103
106	UNLV	0.918190347698589	1-7	108
107	UTEP	0.9124793082222074	2-6	118
108	Wyoming	0.9078461877257243	1-6	109
109	Fla. Atlantic	0.9049191366709417	1-6	106
110	Colorado St.	0.887634211484284	1-6	115
111	UAB	0.8687860584527429	1-6	107
112	Army	0.8442496119122788	1-6	111
113	Boston College	0.833764250827902	1-6	110
114	Akron	0.8332678257827287	1-7	116
115	FIU	0.83266607489463	1-7	114
116	Eastern Mich.	0.8290224864413944	1-6	123
117	New Mexico St.	0.8247182523675601	1-6	112
118	Tulane	0.8237416764559278	1-6	113
119	Hawaii	0.8220781103419519	1-5	117
120	Memphis	0.8009920500790879	1-6	119
121	Idaho	0.7841489290781868	1-7	121
122	Colorado	0.78253820032611	1-6	120
123	Southern Miss.	0.7412620654217084	0-7	122
124	Massachusetts	0.6446740084519348	0-7	124

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	60.83		Conference USA	93.08		Pacific-12	53.17
Big 12	35.50		Independents	63.50		SEC	43.93
Big East	54.62		Mid-American	73.77		Sun Belt	77.70
Big Ten	49.00		Mountain West	78.80		WAC	70.29

1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the BCS:
 21
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the BCS:
 5 [Alabama, Florida, Kansas St., Stanford, Michigan]
3) Avg distance in rank from OFRS to the BCS Top 25:
 5.32
4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
 43-13 (76.79%)

OFRS 2012 - Week 7

First week of the BCS and the OFRS agrees that Alabama and Florida are 1 and 2 respectively in the nation. Only 6 teams are represented in the OFRS that aren't in the BCS Top 25 these teams are: Ohio (Ranked 25 in the AP Poll); Ohio St. (Ranked 7 in AP Poll, Not allowed to be ranked because of sanctions); Louisiana Tech (28 in the AP poll); Arizona St. (26 in AP poll); Penn St. (T-34 in AP poll, Not allowed to be ranked because of sanctions); and Western Kentucky (I don't have an argument for them). Finally, the game prediction percentage is back up to 70% from 62% last week.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 7

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Alabama	1.976129680981887	6-0	1
2	Florida	1.8299948112326268	6-0	3
3	Notre Dame	1.8104569006304219	6-0	4
4	Oregon St.	1.7822293696261524	5-0	5
5	Ohio	1.7794543716532325	7-0	8
6	Kansas St.	1.777045218083805	6-0	7
7	West Virginia	1.7397924825063085	5-1	2
8	Texas Tech	1.7244483408800824	5-1	14
9	Rutgers	1.7108130660274898	6-0	12
10	Oregon	1.7069567251682582	6-0	6
11	Oklahoma	1.6986653226103625	4-1	19
12	Mississippi St.	1.6978488640205447	6-0	13
13	Ohio St.	1.6868113223143122	7-0	9
14	Cincinnati	1.6802293310765248	5-0	15
15	LSU	1.6452727538742324	6-1	22
16	Texas A&M	1.607631693090809	5-1	26
17	Florida St.	1.5970271056834235	6-1	17
18	Iowa St.	1.5930982641133522	4-2	11
19	South Carolina	1.5580632045176914	6-1	10
20	Boise St.	1.5476061285908476	5-1	30
21	Louisiana Tech	1.5460018068177515	5-1	20
22	Louisville	1.5439450289250911	6-0	27
23	Arizona St.	1.521948743586112	5-1	24
24	Penn St.	1.5150308127741337	4-2	32
25	Western Ky.	1.5116273543138634	5-1	33
26	Stanford	1.508447603877072	4-2	16
27	Northwestern	1.5000665605323211	6-1	38
28	Michigan	1.4899692643145737	4-2	35
29	Clemson	1.4876003063098258	5-1	29
30	Texas	1.4683116494265216	4-2	18
31	UTSA	1.4616778321951343	5-1	23
32	Southern California	1.4612942230396186	5-1	43
33	Georgia	1.4588734324208008	5-1	25
34	Northern Ill.	1.4575751347865227	6-1	42
35	North Carolina	1.454667776666094	5-2	50
36	Iowa	1.4456838866987016	4-2	44
37	TCU	1.437992385372123	5-1	49
38	Tulsa	1.4305817557724854	6-1	37
39	Toledo	1.4289512432202056	6-1	36
40	Kent St.	1.4221698295756933	5-1	52
41	Baylor	1.4142050165391093	3-2	21
42	UCLA	1.4118090559160164	5-2	55
43	Nevada	1.4050672746715824	6-1	47
44	Minnesota	1.4003083422207987	4-2	28
45	Miami (FL)	1.3956007358420295	4-3	31
46	La.-Lafayette	1.395275875349929	4-1	51
47	Michigan St.	1.3938181825854763	4-3	34
48	Wisconsin	1.3795762690849478	5-2	59
49	Nebraska	1.3729183415980981	4-2	53
50	Arizona	1.3666101016814372	3-3	46
51	North Carolina St.	1.3652119571184778	4-2	48
52	San Jose St.	1.3545426827459655	4-2	39
53	Fresno St.	1.3500708115119526	4-3	45
54	Ole Miss	1.3365776874039994	4-3	58
55	Utah St.	1.3354133085412356	5-2	65
56	Missouri	1.3341924714825846	3-4	54
57	Washington	1.330113028368661	3-3	40
58	Maryland	1.316029392817838	4-2	60
59	Tennessee	1.3134762380400369	3-3	56
60	Temple	1.3121661278195893	3-2	67
61	Duke	1.2949405763577784	5-2	41
62	UCF	1.2766669557734833	4-2	66
63	New Mexico	1.2741608820631742	4-3	71
64	Virginia Tech	1.2691246199317168	4-3	85
65	La.-Monroe	1.2632514944361237	4-2	72
66	BYU	1.2611681867139282	4-3	61
67	California	1.2536863435325953	3-4	77
68	Ball St.	1.2501514813549524	4-3	76
69	Syracuse	1.2459211777870747	2-4	64
70	Troy	1.2428155561765408	3-3	62
71	Arkansas St.	1.2392964624934515	4-3	69
72	Oklahoma St.	1.238533790098303	3-2	63
73	Arkansas	1.2327178259276754	3-4	75
74	Middle Tenn.	1.2267059458212721	4-2	73
75	Wake Forest	1.2233208821234214	3-3	68
76	Purdue	1.215626434292493	3-3	57
77	Bowling Green	1.215292807668244	4-3	91
78	East Carolina	1.1990578952884912	4-3	80
79	San Diego St.	1.1907774253070464	4-3	74
80	Navy	1.1904811017810422	3-3	82
81	South Fla.	1.1862373004044253	2-4	86
82	Texas St.	1.1859849734808086	3-3	94
83	Indiana	1.1741062600401961	2-4	88
84	Houston	1.1539505058007473	3-3	97
85	Vanderbilt	1.1488184528427237	2-4	70
86	Marshall	1.1295870558690284	2-4	87
87	Pittsburgh	1.126400206348714	2-4	89
88	Utah	1.1038888241541778	2-4	83
89	Connecticut	1.0974848596330062	3-4	79
90	Miami (OH)	1.096583897768022	3-4	78
91	Western Mich.	1.065756160893779	3-4	84
92	North Texas	1.0562198497693445	2-4	98
93	Virginia	1.0525739575718003	2-5	90
94	Kentucky	1.0508234824696143	1-6	81
95	Illinois	1.0286334550823728	2-5	95
96	Central Mich.	1.0181794632265835	2-4	92
97	Air Force	1.0104129062306166	3-3	109
98	Buffalo	1.0043093043636901	1-5	99
99	Kansas	0.9991082441836516	1-5	105
100	Georgia Tech	0.9979036932360503	2-4	103
101	Rice	0.9909390668580667	2-5	118
102	Washington St.	0.9811958927355546	2-5	96
103	Auburn	0.9702485432791291	1-5	104
104	South Ala.	0.9655998922354976	1-5	100
105	SMU	0.9574361017150964	2-4	93
106	Fla. Atlantic	0.9423208655479747	1-5	106
107	UAB	0.9245884413718766	1-5	101
108	UNLV	0.9189599127240473	1-6	108
109	Wyoming	0.9100892787595939	1-5	102
110	Boston College	0.8992547657280556	1-5	111
111	Army	0.8958323584775799	1-5	113
112	New Mexico St.	0.889163990297295	1-5	112
113	Tulane	0.8866844100938527	1-5	122
114	FIU	0.8647582900608948	1-6	110
115	Colorado St.	0.8455842334104486	1-6	107
116	Akron	0.8328389648481987	1-6	121
117	Hawaii	0.8239115640701897	1-5	114
118	UTEP	0.8132526274886609	1-6	119
119	Memphis	0.7925250378702601	1-5	115
120	Colorado	0.7890846666241432	1-5	117
121	Idaho	0.7693105535791953	1-6	116
122	Southern Miss.	0.7681115638222773	0-6	120
123	Eastern Mich.	0.7207964922651497	0-6	123
124	Massachusetts	0.6667370938241934	0-6	124

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	61.50		Conference USA	94.42		Pacific-12	51.75
Big 12	32.90		Independents	65.00		SEC	44.43
Big East	53.88		Mid-American	77.00		Sun Belt	76.70
Big Ten	47.50		Mountain West	80.40		WAC	67.71

 1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the AP Top 25:
  19
 2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the AP Top 25:
  3 [Alabama, Florida, Mississippi St.]
 3) Average distance in rank from OFRS top 25 to the AP Top 25:
  6.56
 4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
  38-16 (70.37%)

OFRS 2012 - Week 6

With the BCS coming out in a week, the rankings are starting to sort themselves out. Alabama has reclaimed the number 1 spot, and Oklahoma and Louisiana Tech have moved into the top 25, while Texas A&M dropped 1 spot out to 26 and Northwester fell to 38. The ridiculous amount of upsets/close games this week can be attested to by the 63% prediction count.

---

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 6

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Alabama	1.9440745075905757	5-0	2
2	West Virginia	1.8795021531638618	5-0	1
3	Florida	1.8410142672481318	5-0	5
4	Notre Dame	1.8394317465840206	5-0	7
5	Oregon St.	1.7462069792103392	4-0	3
6	Oregon	1.7396276608269887	6-0	10
7	Kansas St.	1.7306709830095746	5-0	12
8	Ohio	1.7279203079850742	6-0	8
9	Ohio St.	1.6937099645116682	6-0	19
10	South Carolina	1.6875248288937255	6-0	18
11	Iowa St.	1.6647315067154316	4-1	14
12	Rutgers	1.6434956034993384	5-0	24
13	Mississippi St.	1.6315478509827344	5-0	9
14	Texas Tech	1.6260247275827955	4-1	4
15	Cincinnati	1.6234972301395525	4-0	15
16	Stanford	1.6187147344125197	4-1	17
17	Florida St.	1.6163210042223024	5-1	6
18	Texas	1.6143426759080262	4-1	11
19	Oklahoma	1.5929517393378054	3-1	41
20	Louisiana Tech	1.5768350042093995	5-0	27
21	Baylor	1.5675901162709196	3-1	20
22	LSU	1.5634356828388876	5-1	13
23	UTSA	1.5632757749279012	5-0	22
24	Arizona St.	1.5434792610033723	4-1	23
25	Georgia	1.5362489279483387	5-1	16
26	Texas A&M	1.5087759223727562	4-1	25
27	Louisville	1.5059829905318696	5-0	33
28	Minnesota	1.5014003811987366	4-1	40
29	Clemson	1.5004077397446598	5-1	26
30	Boise St.	1.487334038446879	4-1	36
31	Miami (FL)	1.4867278560987227	4-2	29
32	Penn St.	1.4802436490206	4-2	55
33	Western Ky.	1.4787009825882598	4-1	37
34	Michigan St.	1.4778619363101926	4-2	43
35	Michigan	1.4660433475514754	3-2	47
36	Toledo	1.4554824445398222	5-1	38
37	Tulsa	1.4503228396556422	5-1	45
38	Northwestern	1.4439410651291271	5-1	21
39	San Jose St.	1.4403326175150915	4-1	44
40	Washington	1.4356893275690963	3-2	28
41	Duke	1.4227706585014013	5-1	49
42	Northern Ill.	1.4207003963997844	5-1	53
43	Southern California	1.420585828590574	4-1	58
44	Iowa	1.4125370454109367	3-2	42
45	Fresno St.	1.408184787171153	4-2	57
46	Arizona	1.395226912780004	3-3	35
47	Nevada	1.3854650108885473	5-1	51
48	North Carolina St.	1.3839730057476	4-2	65
49	TCU	1.3832510315523998	4-1	31
50	North Carolina	1.3756264533284086	4-2	59
51	La.-Lafayette	1.3741373519993605	4-1	48
52	Kent St.	1.3554718074583412	4-1	52
53	Nebraska	1.3545042015976858	4-2	39
54	Missouri	1.3483638120836026	3-3	34
55	UCLA	1.3390378118459465	4-2	30
56	Tennessee	1.3253244166579972	3-2	54
57	Purdue	1.3139538055498217	3-2	32
58	Ole Miss	1.3118241748528603	3-3	46
59	Wisconsin	1.3107064745707997	4-2	62
60	Maryland	1.3100351248307087	3-2	71
61	BYU	1.3047779439997007	4-2	76
62	Troy	1.2927259504228752	3-2	63
63	Oklahoma St.	1.2653118872826699	2-2	61
64	Syracuse	1.259298800268867	2-3	80
65	Utah St.	1.255249564219163	4-2	50
66	UCF	1.25307851845521	3-2	82
67	Temple	1.2425188053598828	2-2	92
68	Wake Forest	1.2127855761218487	3-3	64
69	Arkansas St.	1.2094172127389358	3-3	87
70	Vanderbilt	1.208366052692738	2-3	83
71	New Mexico	1.2066589902241949	3-3	73
72	La.-Monroe	1.2004183415643621	3-2	100
73	Middle Tenn.	1.1898941217174994	3-2	60
74	San Diego St.	1.1884290265900397	3-3	89
75	Arkansas	1.178754414401245	2-4	91
76	Ball St.	1.1753747585083902	3-3	70
77	California	1.172389864364633	2-4	105
78	Miami (OH)	1.1579868051886582	3-3	77
79	Connecticut	1.1571430684743573	3-3	85
80	East Carolina	1.1568279308252118	3-3	75
81	Kentucky	1.1546453064001756	1-5	86
82	Navy	1.151365701287311	2-3	104
83	Utah	1.1509303152761041	2-3	68
84	Western Mich.	1.1475556043122703	3-3	88
85	Virginia Tech	1.1385031879645686	3-3	74
86	South Fla.	1.1363868945628826	2-4	67
87	Marshall	1.1308445141161425	2-4	69
88	Indiana	1.1279246837415138	2-3	72
89	Pittsburgh	1.1252339501343744	2-3	56
90	Virginia	1.1220297312318996	2-4	79
91	Bowling Green	1.1195150108012564	3-3	97
92	Central Mich.	1.1093937270877023	2-3	84
93	SMU	1.0865446555097868	2-3	93
94	Texas St.	1.0792196662328457	2-3	66
95	Illinois	1.0709949780574057	2-4	90
96	Washington St.	1.061939428737567	2-4	98
97	Houston	1.044835771370528	2-3	109
98	North Texas	1.0435077470688434	2-4	81
99	Buffalo	1.0353814988261998	1-4	106
100	South Ala.	1.0276075378828111	1-4	96
101	UAB	1.0205845023195297	1-4	114
102	Wyoming	0.999931745282614	1-4	95
103	Georgia Tech	0.9977596556028008	2-4	94
104	Auburn	0.9971915269781564	1-4	78
105	Kansas	0.987150534267128	1-4	102
106	Fla. Atlantic	0.9641310225100233	1-4	103
107	Colorado St.	0.9396205248085991	1-5	107
108	UNLV	0.9211662544591888	1-5	110
109	Air Force	0.9075467381576237	2-3	101
110	FIU	0.888308945851975	1-5	111
111	Boston College	0.8843457793991341	1-4	99
112	New Mexico St.	0.8731640043756534	1-5	108
113	Army	0.8647691768219192	1-4	121
114	Hawaii	0.8544229210277545	1-4	112
115	Memphis	0.7987473247308605	1-4	124
116	Idaho	0.7852066139034914	1-5	123
117	Colorado	0.782246677881557	1-4	116
118	Rice	0.7741566776338655	1-5	113
119	UTEP	0.7600651508350738	1-5	115
120	Southern Miss.	0.7587682023676401	0-5	117
121	Akron	0.7467846685549047	1-5	118
122	Tulane	0.7230645592749556	0-5	122
123	Eastern Mich.	0.6890288247097834	0-5	119
124	Massachusetts	0.6588056748650926	0-6	120

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	61.08		Conference USA	96.25		Pacific-12	50.67
Big 12	30.90		Independents	65.00		SEC	42.71
Big East	54.88		Mid-American	78.92		Sun Belt	77.40
Big Ten	47.67		Mountain West	80.70		WAC	67.00

 1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the AP Top 25:
  19
 2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the AP Top 25:
  1 [Alabama]
 3) Average distance in rank from OFRS top 25 to the AP Top 25:
  6.44
 4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
  34-20 (62.96%)

OFRS 2012 - Week 5

Not much to note this week other than West Virginia has claimed the number one spot on my rankings. One thing I thought was interesting was that the Alabama-Ole Miss game and the Oregon-Washington St. game were virtually identical. A top 1 or 2 team going against a middle to bottom of the pack divisional opponent who put up a surprising fight during the first half only to be soundly defeated coming out of the locker room. With that said I would have much rather watched the Oregon St. game that wasn't televised here because of the Oregon game. Anyway to the ranking...

---

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 5

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	59.58		Conference USA	98.17		Pacific-12	49.25
Big 12	29.70		Independents	77.00		SEC	40.00
Big East	56.50		Mid-American	79.23		Sun Belt	78.60
Big Ten	46.83		Mountain West	83.10		WAC	62.86

 1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the AP Top 25:
  17
 2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the AP Top 25:
  1 [Texas]
 3) Average distance in rank from OFRS top 25 to the AP Top 25:
  9.4
 4) Percentage games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
  41-10 (80.39%)

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	West Virginia	1.934194434082325	4-0	5
2	Alabama	1.8963501551637223	5-0	2
3	Oregon St.	1.8392161491723438	3-0	1
4	Texas Tech	1.8283084577834576	4-0	4
5	Florida	1.8104707924280143	4-0	11
6	Florida St.	1.7877920812222539	5-0	10
7	Notre Dame	1.774719317500669	4-0	7
8	Ohio	1.7624018086969169	5-0	9
9	Mississippi St.	1.7505985227717222	4-0	13
10	Oregon	1.7184226798903806	5-0	8
11	Texas	1.7172140887502205	4-0	6
12	Kansas St.	1.7122384139657254	4-0	14
13	LSU	1.6766359275260685	5-0	17
14	Iowa St.	1.6624183965375765	3-1	12
15	Cincinnati	1.6362334343377039	3-0	15
16	Georgia	1.6306127528850547	5-0	18
17	Stanford	1.6094437616254738	3-1	3
18	South Carolina	1.5830050249184502	5-0	23
19	Ohio St.	1.5751275966650753	5-0	24
20	Baylor	1.5742702316270138	3-1	20
21	Northwestern	1.5735278985384076	5-0	22
22	UTSA	1.5666974026882543	5-0	31
23	Arizona St.	1.5573606799162372	4-1	27
24	Rutgers	1.5561271249610418	4-0	21
25	Texas A&M	1.5542459888362012	3-1	44
26	Clemson	1.5527323051006507	4-1	26
27	Louisiana Tech	1.543395498982962	4-0	32
28	Washington	1.5343730931217041	3-1	35
29	Miami (FL)	1.5232256884566295	4-1	38
30	UCLA	1.5194971647014117	4-1	30
31	TCU	1.5130272475362845	4-0	29
32	Purdue	1.500143240508442	3-1	37
33	Louisville	1.4938022396570974	5-0	25
34	Missouri	1.4936946229420953	3-2	49
35	Arizona	1.4878567010025396	3-2	19
36	Boise St.	1.4754765576261069	3-1	47
37	Western Ky.	1.4566518256342615	4-1	46
38	Toledo	1.4564864026626339	4-1	59
39	Nebraska	1.444844167011964	4-1	48
40	Minnesota	1.4434918810959232	4-1	16
41	Oklahoma	1.4154965527776229	2-1	43
42	Iowa	1.4085044109181784	3-2	68
43	Michigan St.	1.4077301615557398	3-2	28
44	San Jose St.	1.4075860354158296	4-1	41
45	Tulsa	1.4027498221061736	4-1	40
46	Ole Miss	1.3967826606703555	3-2	36
47	Michigan	1.3706633504163286	2-2	54
48	La.-Lafayette	1.3680296298340882	3-1	57
49	Duke	1.3661311079894636	4-1	52
50	Utah St.	1.3643947448820917	4-1	55
51	Nevada	1.3609084588235303	4-1	61
52	Kent St.	1.3580752115317947	3-1	63
53	Northern Ill.	1.3578769715827688	4-1	69
54	Tennessee	1.3568897821926102	3-2	33
55	Penn St.	1.3522315450184126	3-2	71
56	Pittsburgh	1.3354386307112454	2-2	50
57	Fresno St.	1.33494284725414	3-2	70
58	Southern California	1.3254356763588997	3-1	42
59	North Carolina	1.3088966949607583	3-2	65
60	Middle Tenn.	1.3033883355589093	3-1	83
61	Oklahoma St.	1.3013851478196192	2-2	58
62	Wisconsin	1.3006501600453488	3-2	39
63	Troy	1.2996484165969409	3-2	79
64	Wake Forest	1.285154554001449	3-2	45
65	North Carolina St.	1.279624696774283	3-2	34
66	Texas St.	1.2672534590285478	2-2	53
67	South Fla.	1.2608881428723744	2-3	72
68	Utah	1.2605051964996392	2-2	80
69	Marshall	1.2517300466836645	2-3	60
70	Ball St.	1.2490426234842593	3-2	51
71	Maryland	1.244215450128623	2-2	85
72	Indiana	1.2241919357981337	2-2	66
73	New Mexico	1.2203572571323016	2-3	56
74	Virginia Tech	1.2119499328059755	3-2	67
75	East Carolina	1.211710568716439	3-2	93
76	BYU	1.204209496770828	3-2	92
77	Miami (OH)	1.1929948813733744	3-2	89
78	Auburn	1.17923553760422	1-3	86
79	Virginia	1.1785037639074205	2-3	74
80	Syracuse	1.1761707701724253	1-3	75
81	North Texas	1.16898185701747	2-3	91
82	UCF	1.1684141096382787	2-2	62
83	Vanderbilt	1.1633014729450173	1-3	88
84	Central Mich.	1.1504631576046649	2-2	64
85	Connecticut	1.1479511681222736	3-2	87
86	Kentucky	1.1346864972965103	1-4	82
87	Arkansas St.	1.1329927147570351	2-3	78
88	Western Mich.	1.1225861812765232	2-3	73
89	San Diego St.	1.1103105269501619	2-3	76
90	Illinois	1.1094865509114675	2-3	77
91	Arkansas	1.0881274271626267	1-4	96
92	Temple	1.0808876272548018	1-2	104
93	SMU	1.0738568503202144	1-3	98
94	Georgia Tech	1.0721960836248667	2-3	84
95	Wyoming	1.0628288973106588	1-3	95
96	South Ala.	1.0547903286448133	1-4	81
97	Bowling Green	1.0428950216290567	2-3	110
98	Washington St.	1.0405795949631598	2-3	103
99	Boston College	1.0403566383530103	1-3	90
100	La.-Monroe	1.0331799540609938	2-2	109
101	Air Force	1.0191124484405625	2-2	113
102	Kansas	1.0053115242917894	1-3	106
103	Fla. Atlantic	1.0012729283241937	1-4	94
104	Navy	0.9971815116672652	1-3	97
105	California	0.9900785204243787	1-4	102
106	Buffalo	0.9771926387066024	1-3	100
107	Colorado St.	0.974401951725056	1-4	101
108	New Mexico St.	0.9686717919564832	1-4	112
109	Houston	0.9417176663909645	1-3	116
110	UNLV	0.9371544365896883	1-4	107
111	FIU	0.911967151519169	1-4	105
112	Hawaii	0.9070034800722397	1-3	99
113	Rice	0.844908225373694	1-4	111
114	UAB	0.8411329872700329	0-4	115
115	UTEP	0.8152144931589366	1-4	108
116	Colorado	0.793779551421803	1-4	119
117	Southern Miss.	0.7746379731427194	0-4	121
118	Akron	0.772169130271373	1-4	114
119	Eastern Mich.	0.7290367352572302	0-4	118
120	Massachusetts	0.7203806323362875	0-5	124
121	Army	0.6850754031490579	0-4	120
122	Tulane	0.683343624385277	0-4	117
123	Idaho	0.6531974509953297	0-5	123
124	Memphis	0.6331124726283991	0-4	122