OFRS 2012 - Week 8

It is the second week of BCS rankings and the OFRS has matched the top 3 with Notre Dame up one spot to 4. The OFRS has matched the BCS on 21 teams with the four other teams being: Ohio St. (Not allowed to be ranked due to sanctions), Penn St. (Not allowed to be ranked due to sanctions), Toledo (Ranked 26 in the AP Poll), and Cincinnati (Ranked 29 in the USA Today Poll). Also of note, the OFRS was up again from last week predicting 77% of the games correctly.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 8

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Alabama (1)	1.9482398255070867	7-0	1
2	Florida (2)	1.9222303586346443	7-0	2
3	Kansas St. (3)	1.8787943319974245	7-0	6
4	Notre Dame (5)	1.8329230198080089	7-0	3
5	Mississippi St. (11)	1.8128709083238	7-0	12
6	Oregon St. (7)	1.785441191245316	6-0	4
7	Ohio (24)	1.7836927378817702	7-0	5
8	Oregon (4)	1.7541654499187962	7-0	10
9	Rutgers (15)	1.712125742198097	7-0	9
10	Texas Tech (14)	1.7066431795721857	6-1	8
11	Oklahoma (8)	1.7012944510952905	5-1	11
12	LSU (6)	1.6938630527463452	7-1	15
13	Ohio St.	1.6536474491310296	8-0	13
14	Florida St. (12)	1.6363173608857395	7-1	17
15	West Virginia (19)	1.6188670793029656	5-2	7
16	Cincinnati	1.5752682914650822	5-1	14
17	Stanford (17)	1.5728493292814003	5-2	26
18	Texas A&M (20)	1.5652185150631939	5-2	16
19	Penn St.	1.557479513371606	5-2	24
20	Louisville (16)	1.5538190798104923	7-0	22
21	Clemson (18)	1.5478878991853353	6-1	29
22	Michigan (22)	1.5355783017628513	5-2	28
23	Toledo	1.5328129746660928	7-1	39
24	South Carolina (13)	1.532797263269831	6-2	19
25	Boise St. (21)	1.5305458701177093	6-1	20
26	Texas (23)	1.5061390459629156	5-2	30
27	Louisiana Tech	1.5033887131022963	6-1	21
28	Southern California (9)	1.4801456821607335	6-1	32
29	Wisconsin (25)	1.478593633566011	6-2	48
30	Kent St.	1.4783628564701512	6-1	40
31	Northern Ill.	1.470642758584141	7-1	34
32	San Jose St.	1.4699481880551852	5-2	52
33	Tulsa	1.4565778647366103	7-1	38
34	Arizona	1.4530850045398143	4-3	50
35	Nebraska	1.451429421022328	5-2	49
36	Iowa St.	1.450808572349311	4-3	18
37	Northwestern	1.4488283664575918	6-2	27
38	Arizona St.	1.4485459116876327	5-2	23
39	Georgia (10)	1.4461615087839566	6-1	33
40	Western Ky.	1.4250506479115022	5-2	25
41	North Carolina St.	1.3982539918697476	5-2	51
42	UCLA	1.3961614129527318	5-2	42
43	Fresno St.	1.3956672593160138	5-3	53
44	Duke	1.393468330022048	6-2	61
45	Miami (FL)	1.3923924465672812	4-4	45
46	TCU	1.3859708201195742	5-2	37
47	North Carolina	1.381171376100502	5-3	35
48	Tennessee	1.3669251881316167	3-4	59
49	Utah St.	1.360544672129262	6-2	55
50	Ole Miss	1.34210998931101	4-3	54
51	Oklahoma St.	1.3395009899978785	4-2	72
52	La.-Monroe	1.3302217970813404	5-2	65
53	Nevada	1.3287881465628	6-2	43
54	Michigan St.	1.324363264964942	4-4	47
55	Missouri	1.320498526771432	3-4	56
56	Iowa	1.3155881339281716	4-3	36
57	UCF	1.3081170341946504	5-2	62
58	Syracuse	1.305383692456232	3-4	69
59	Baylor	1.3041058375628443	3-3	41
60	Ball St.	1.2967455979047013	5-3	68
61	San Diego St.	1.2961242208855597	5-3	79
62	Minnesota	1.2842353052067157	4-3	44
63	Wake Forest	1.2831439401774376	4-3	75
64	Troy	1.2780302329758273	4-3	70
65	UTSA	1.2672295865575052	5-2	31
66	Temple	1.2657293433446513	3-3	60
67	Bowling Green	1.2642414130390454	5-3	77
68	Navy	1.262534041979687	4-3	80
69	La.-Lafayette	1.2623331007304706	4-2	46
70	BYU	1.2615264940795057	4-4	66
71	Washington	1.2602692446118735	3-4	57
72	Purdue	1.255218570889719	3-4	76
73	Virginia Tech	1.2394080409254913	4-4	64
74	Middle Tenn.	1.2392122776587784	4-3	74
75	Arkansas St.	1.236237851284925	4-3	71
76	New Mexico	1.2313937420215364	4-4	63
77	East Carolina	1.2218911277903295	5-3	78
78	Arkansas	1.2147562740885625	3-4	73
79	North Texas	1.2140046107153548	3-4	92
80	Maryland	1.1992444269756322	4-3	58
81	Texas St.	1.1829615412402672	3-3	82
82	Vanderbilt	1.1774664942418618	3-4	85
83	California	1.1734322912710895	3-5	67
84	Pittsburgh	1.1550780042752973	3-4	87
85	South Fla.	1.1547880250609974	2-5	81
86	Marshall	1.146391119648526	3-4	86
87	Air Force	1.099128717810603	4-3	97
88	Utah	1.0990965311537655	2-5	88
89	Miami (OH)	1.0876317593537985	3-4	90
90	Houston	1.0803566081356584	3-4	84
91	SMU	1.0640172123397025	3-4	105
92	Georgia Tech	1.0639361395276854	3-4	100
93	Western Mich.	1.0491974953621066	3-5	91
94	Indiana	1.0480328015748108	2-5	83
95	Illinois	1.0454251437673847	2-5	95
96	Kentucky	1.0415374792010272	1-7	94
97	Virginia	1.0237227000803046	2-6	93
98	Kansas	1.006624078870018	1-6	99
99	Connecticut	1.005782593039222	3-5	89
100	South Ala.	1.0000123002910282	2-5	104
101	Washington St.	0.9721769982243182	2-5	102
102	Central Mich.	0.9679573766155973	2-5	96
103	Buffalo	0.961037586955068	1-6	98
104	Rice	0.9524342138125065	2-6	101
105	Auburn	0.9406346640125868	1-6	103
106	UNLV	0.918190347698589	1-7	108
107	UTEP	0.9124793082222074	2-6	118
108	Wyoming	0.9078461877257243	1-6	109
109	Fla. Atlantic	0.9049191366709417	1-6	106
110	Colorado St.	0.887634211484284	1-6	115
111	UAB	0.8687860584527429	1-6	107
112	Army	0.8442496119122788	1-6	111
113	Boston College	0.833764250827902	1-6	110
114	Akron	0.8332678257827287	1-7	116
115	FIU	0.83266607489463	1-7	114
116	Eastern Mich.	0.8290224864413944	1-6	123
117	New Mexico St.	0.8247182523675601	1-6	112
118	Tulane	0.8237416764559278	1-6	113
119	Hawaii	0.8220781103419519	1-5	117
120	Memphis	0.8009920500790879	1-6	119
121	Idaho	0.7841489290781868	1-7	121
122	Colorado	0.78253820032611	1-6	120
123	Southern Miss.	0.7412620654217084	0-7	122
124	Massachusetts	0.6446740084519348	0-7	124

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	60.83		Conference USA	93.08		Pacific-12	53.17
Big 12	35.50		Independents	63.50		SEC	43.93
Big East	54.62		Mid-American	73.77		Sun Belt	77.70
Big Ten	49.00		Mountain West	78.80		WAC	70.29

1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the BCS:
 21
2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the BCS:
 5 [Alabama, Florida, Kansas St., Stanford, Michigan]
3) Avg distance in rank from OFRS to the BCS Top 25:
 5.32
4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
 43-13 (76.79%)