OFRS 2012 - Week 6

With the BCS coming out in a week, the rankings are starting to sort themselves out. Alabama has reclaimed the number 1 spot, and Oklahoma and Louisiana Tech have moved into the top 25, while Texas A&M dropped 1 spot out to 26 and Northwester fell to 38. The ridiculous amount of upsets/close games this week can be attested to by the 63% prediction count.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKING SYSTEM
Compiled by: Sean Owens | Year: 2012 | Week: 6

TEAM RANKINGS
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Prev. Rank
1	Alabama	1.9440745075905757	5-0	2
2	West Virginia	1.8795021531638618	5-0	1
3	Florida	1.8410142672481318	5-0	5
4	Notre Dame	1.8394317465840206	5-0	7
5	Oregon St.	1.7462069792103392	4-0	3
6	Oregon	1.7396276608269887	6-0	10
7	Kansas St.	1.7306709830095746	5-0	12
8	Ohio	1.7279203079850742	6-0	8
9	Ohio St.	1.6937099645116682	6-0	19
10	South Carolina	1.6875248288937255	6-0	18
11	Iowa St.	1.6647315067154316	4-1	14
12	Rutgers	1.6434956034993384	5-0	24
13	Mississippi St.	1.6315478509827344	5-0	9
14	Texas Tech	1.6260247275827955	4-1	4
15	Cincinnati	1.6234972301395525	4-0	15
16	Stanford	1.6187147344125197	4-1	17
17	Florida St.	1.6163210042223024	5-1	6
18	Texas	1.6143426759080262	4-1	11
19	Oklahoma	1.5929517393378054	3-1	41
20	Louisiana Tech	1.5768350042093995	5-0	27
21	Baylor	1.5675901162709196	3-1	20
22	LSU	1.5634356828388876	5-1	13
23	UTSA	1.5632757749279012	5-0	22
24	Arizona St.	1.5434792610033723	4-1	23
25	Georgia	1.5362489279483387	5-1	16
26	Texas A&M	1.5087759223727562	4-1	25
27	Louisville	1.5059829905318696	5-0	33
28	Minnesota	1.5014003811987366	4-1	40
29	Clemson	1.5004077397446598	5-1	26
30	Boise St.	1.487334038446879	4-1	36
31	Miami (FL)	1.4867278560987227	4-2	29
32	Penn St.	1.4802436490206	4-2	55
33	Western Ky.	1.4787009825882598	4-1	37
34	Michigan St.	1.4778619363101926	4-2	43
35	Michigan	1.4660433475514754	3-2	47
36	Toledo	1.4554824445398222	5-1	38
37	Tulsa	1.4503228396556422	5-1	45
38	Northwestern	1.4439410651291271	5-1	21
39	San Jose St.	1.4403326175150915	4-1	44
40	Washington	1.4356893275690963	3-2	28
41	Duke	1.4227706585014013	5-1	49
42	Northern Ill.	1.4207003963997844	5-1	53
43	Southern California	1.420585828590574	4-1	58
44	Iowa	1.4125370454109367	3-2	42
45	Fresno St.	1.408184787171153	4-2	57
46	Arizona	1.395226912780004	3-3	35
47	Nevada	1.3854650108885473	5-1	51
48	North Carolina St.	1.3839730057476	4-2	65
49	TCU	1.3832510315523998	4-1	31
50	North Carolina	1.3756264533284086	4-2	59
51	La.-Lafayette	1.3741373519993605	4-1	48
52	Kent St.	1.3554718074583412	4-1	52
53	Nebraska	1.3545042015976858	4-2	39
54	Missouri	1.3483638120836026	3-3	34
55	UCLA	1.3390378118459465	4-2	30
56	Tennessee	1.3253244166579972	3-2	54
57	Purdue	1.3139538055498217	3-2	32
58	Ole Miss	1.3118241748528603	3-3	46
59	Wisconsin	1.3107064745707997	4-2	62
60	Maryland	1.3100351248307087	3-2	71
61	BYU	1.3047779439997007	4-2	76
62	Troy	1.2927259504228752	3-2	63
63	Oklahoma St.	1.2653118872826699	2-2	61
64	Syracuse	1.259298800268867	2-3	80
65	Utah St.	1.255249564219163	4-2	50
66	UCF	1.25307851845521	3-2	82
67	Temple	1.2425188053598828	2-2	92
68	Wake Forest	1.2127855761218487	3-3	64
69	Arkansas St.	1.2094172127389358	3-3	87
70	Vanderbilt	1.208366052692738	2-3	83
71	New Mexico	1.2066589902241949	3-3	73
72	La.-Monroe	1.2004183415643621	3-2	100
73	Middle Tenn.	1.1898941217174994	3-2	60
74	San Diego St.	1.1884290265900397	3-3	89
75	Arkansas	1.178754414401245	2-4	91
76	Ball St.	1.1753747585083902	3-3	70
77	California	1.172389864364633	2-4	105
78	Miami (OH)	1.1579868051886582	3-3	77
79	Connecticut	1.1571430684743573	3-3	85
80	East Carolina	1.1568279308252118	3-3	75
81	Kentucky	1.1546453064001756	1-5	86
82	Navy	1.151365701287311	2-3	104
83	Utah	1.1509303152761041	2-3	68
84	Western Mich.	1.1475556043122703	3-3	88
85	Virginia Tech	1.1385031879645686	3-3	74
86	South Fla.	1.1363868945628826	2-4	67
87	Marshall	1.1308445141161425	2-4	69
88	Indiana	1.1279246837415138	2-3	72
89	Pittsburgh	1.1252339501343744	2-3	56
90	Virginia	1.1220297312318996	2-4	79
91	Bowling Green	1.1195150108012564	3-3	97
92	Central Mich.	1.1093937270877023	2-3	84
93	SMU	1.0865446555097868	2-3	93
94	Texas St.	1.0792196662328457	2-3	66
95	Illinois	1.0709949780574057	2-4	90
96	Washington St.	1.061939428737567	2-4	98
97	Houston	1.044835771370528	2-3	109
98	North Texas	1.0435077470688434	2-4	81
99	Buffalo	1.0353814988261998	1-4	106
100	South Ala.	1.0276075378828111	1-4	96
101	UAB	1.0205845023195297	1-4	114
102	Wyoming	0.999931745282614	1-4	95
103	Georgia Tech	0.9977596556028008	2-4	94
104	Auburn	0.9971915269781564	1-4	78
105	Kansas	0.987150534267128	1-4	102
106	Fla. Atlantic	0.9641310225100233	1-4	103
107	Colorado St.	0.9396205248085991	1-5	107
108	UNLV	0.9211662544591888	1-5	110
109	Air Force	0.9075467381576237	2-3	101
110	FIU	0.888308945851975	1-5	111
111	Boston College	0.8843457793991341	1-4	99
112	New Mexico St.	0.8731640043756534	1-5	108
113	Army	0.8647691768219192	1-4	121
114	Hawaii	0.8544229210277545	1-4	112
115	Memphis	0.7987473247308605	1-4	124
116	Idaho	0.7852066139034914	1-5	123
117	Colorado	0.782246677881557	1-4	116
118	Rice	0.7741566776338655	1-5	113
119	UTEP	0.7600651508350738	1-5	115
120	Southern Miss.	0.7587682023676401	0-5	117
121	Akron	0.7467846685549047	1-5	118
122	Tulane	0.7230645592749556	0-5	122
123	Eastern Mich.	0.6890288247097834	0-5	119
124	Massachusetts	0.6588056748650926	0-6	120

AVERAGE RANKS BY CONFERENCE
ACC	61.08		Conference USA	96.25		Pacific-12	50.67
Big 12	30.90		Independents	65.00		SEC	42.71
Big East	54.88		Mid-American	78.92		Sun Belt	77.40
Big Ten	47.67		Mountain West	80.70		WAC	67.00

 1) No. of top 25 teams also in the top 25 in the AP Top 25:
  19
 2) No. of top 25 teams with the same rank as in the AP Top 25:
  1 [Alabama]
 3) Average distance in rank from OFRS top 25 to the AP Top 25:
  6.44
 4) Games predicted correctly from previous week's ranks:
  34-20 (62.96%)